Methodology

How a decision is made

SUPER EDGE considers the baseline profile, exact historical scenarios, and live match state separately. Recent five games, longer history, home and away games, head-to-head meetings, and similar opponents are distinct data groups. They cannot simply be added together when they are based on the same games.

Scenario logic

For each projected period, the system uses only historical information that would have been available at the same point in a match. It examines quarter transitions, score, pace, field goal attempts, effective field goal percentage, offensive rebounds, turnovers, free throws, and fouls.

Decision

PLAY means live data, scenario, and market edge align. LEAN means an advantage with a material conflict. PASS means the edge is insufficient or the data are unreliable. A percentage on a card is a model estimate, not a promise.

Validation

Results should show the period, sample size, deduplication rules, and model version. Past performance does not guarantee future results.