Turnovers and the illusion of a fast game
When frequent transitions create pace without producing good scoring opportunities.
Read →KNOWLEDGE BASE
Blog
Methodology, match analysis, statistics, and lessons learned.
Team totals: offence and what the opponent allows
Combining a team's offence with its opponent's defensive profile without double counting.
Read →Quarter dependence: why the four periods are connected
Reading Q1-to-Q2 transitions, half-time, recovery after a weak quarter and slowdown after 30+ points.
Read →Last 5 or last 35: separating form from noise
The roles of recent form, a longer baseline, and home and away records in a projection.
Read →Head-to-head records: when H2H carries weight
Why a 90–100% head-to-head rate can support an assessment without becoming an automatic selection.
Read →Live eFG%: poor shooting or poor possessions?
Why shooting percentages need to be read alongside pace, attack types and free throws.
Read →Pace and possessions: why the score can mislead
A practical way to assess game speed without chasing the scoreboard.
Read →Fourth-quarter fouling: the hidden risk to UNDER
When the end of a game creates extra scoring risk and how to assess it before a signal.
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